03. Subsurface Uncertainties During Optimization of Unconventional Rocks
So again, like kind of going back to two big subsurface uncertainties during the optimization of unconventional rock. Number one is the matrix permeability, which is the key parameter for optimization of the cluster spacing. Really the reason for that ambiguity is basically do to the extreme tight nature of the rock. So there are multiple ways to measure the permeability. One is the core derived perms. Approaches or methods like MICP or pressure pulse decay, or sometimes using log porosity or resistivity or even a UCS curve. Or techniques like DFIT, RTA, PTA, they are all common to estimate the perm. So now, based on my experience, when the permeability is measured using different approaches, core log or DFIT, PTA or RTA, there are always inconsistencies relating to potentially the problem scale when measured using different approaches. But in operation it's really common to use DFIT, RTA and PTA to infer the matrix permeability. However, in order to do that, we also need the fracture geometry to begin with. So often there is a big range of uncertainty to matrix permeability because of an uncertainty related to the fracture geometry. So, the matrix perm is one and the other one is hydraulic fracturing geometry. So even when we think about a single cluster, a single stage hydraulic fracture which is initiated from the vertical wellbore, there is uncertainty as to what the fracture shape is, the fracture half-length and the fracture height. And most of that in part is due to the notoriously geomechanically heterogeneous nature of the rock. We saw some of that in the previous course when we talked about construction of the mechanical Earth model. Their heterogeneity on stresses and the pore pressure, rock stiffness and minerals and all that that makes understanding fracture shape, half-lengths and fracture heights pretty, pretty complex. So that's for a simple single stage single cluster from a vertical wellbore. Now when we go to fracturing of a horizontal wellbore, we have an additional layer of complexity on the top of that is associated with the non-uniformity in the fracture geometry, particularly in the context of multi-cluster and multi-stage fracturing. Now, some of those non-uniformities are driven by the impact of heterogeneity along the lateral. That could be related to the cross-cutting. It could be related to the change in depositional area. It could be related to full frac interaction. It could be related to depletion effects. That all would lead to non-uniformity in the fracture geometry. The other driver itself, excluding all the heterogeneities, is stress shadowing effects. The intra-stage between simultaneous propagation of the fracture within a particular stage. Or inter-stage, the effects from the previous fractures on the subsequent stages, and also the well-to-well shadow effect. So today we really want to focus on the stress shadowing effects, intra-stage, inter-stage and well-to-well shadows. Now, really something to note here, that matrix permeability is basically outside of our control. So the rocks are either good or bad in terms of reservoir quality. But hydraulic fracturing geometry, to some extent, is under the operators control. So it's really important for us to understand the drivers of those non-uniformities and potentially the variability along the horizontal wellbore.